AU Dollar

AU Dollar

Long-Term Drivers

Global Economic Cycle vs AU DOLLAR
Global Economic Cycle vs AU DOLLAR
notion image
(coming next)
(coming next)
(coming next)
(coming next)

Seasonal Tendencies

AUD Seasonal Tendencies
AUD Seasonal Tendencies
Refers to predictable patterns that occur at specific times of the year, due to recurring events or cycles.
Why it matters:
  • Market Timing: Recognizing seasonal trends helps anticipate price movements.
  • Pattern Exploitation: Traders can use historical data to refine and optimize entry and exit points.
  • Volatility Forecasting: Seasonal factors can also influence market volatility, helping traders manage risk.
 
Updated Bi-Weekly
AUD Long-Term Seasonality | 15 Year - 10 Year - 5 Year
AUD Long-Term Seasonality | 15 Year - 10 Year - 5 Year
notion image
AUD Medium-Term Seasonality | 15 Year - 10 Year - 5 Year
AUD Medium-Term Seasonality | 15 Year - 10 Year - 5 Year
notion image
AUD Short-Term Seasonality | 15 Year - 10 Year - 5 Year
AUD Short-Term Seasonality | 15 Year - 10 Year - 5 Year
notion image

Risk-On/Off Sentiment

Risk-On/Off Sentiment
Risk-On/Off Sentiment
Refers to the amount of USD pairs trading at prices higher or lower than their daily moving averages.
Why it matters:
  • Overbought Signals: When USD pairs are trading above daily moving averages (especially at or above 80) it indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a Risk-On trend could start soon.
  • Oversold Signals: Conversely, if USD pairs are below the moving averages (especially at or below 20) it suggests a Risk-Off trend could start soon.
 
Updated Bi-Weekly
Risk Long-Term Sentiment | Yearly Average
Risk Long-Term Sentiment | Yearly Average
notion image
Risk Medium-Term Sentiment | Monthly Average
Risk Medium-Term Sentiment | Monthly Average
notion image
Risk Short-Term Sentiment | Weekly Average
Risk Short-Term Sentiment | Weekly Average
notion image

Commitment of Traders

AUD Commitment of Traders
AUD Commitment of Traders
Shows the positions of commercial hedgers, large speculators, and small traders.
Why it matters:
  • Market Sentiment: It reveals the positions and market sentiment of major players.
  • Trend Identification: By analyzing shifts in positions, traders can identify potential trends or reversals.
  • Risk Management: Understanding the balance between speculative and hedging activity helps traders assess market risk.
 
Updated Bi-Weekly
AUD COT Long-Term View | Commercials - Large Specs
AUD COT Long-Term View | Commercials - Large Specs
notion image
AUD COT Medium-Term View | Commercials - Large Specs
AUD COT Medium-Term View | Commercials - Large Specs
notion image
AUD COT Short-Term View | Commercials - Large Specs
AUD COT Short-Term View | Commercials - Large Specs
notion image

Percentage Change

AUD Percentage Change
AUD Percentage Change
Measures the relative difference between two values over time, expressed as a percentage.
Why it matters:
  • Performance: It helps assess how much an asset’s price has increased or decreased over a specific period.
  • Trend Analysis: Percentage change highlights overbought and oversold states.
  • Risk Management: Understanding percentage changes aids in evaluating volatility.
 
 
Updated Bi-Weekly
AUD Long-Term Percentage Change | Year on Year
AUD Long-Term Percentage Change | Year on Year
notion image
AUD Medium-Term Percentage Change | Quarter on Quarter
AUD Medium-Term Percentage Change | Quarter on Quarter
notion image
AUD Short-Term Percentage Change | Month on Month
AUD Short-Term Percentage Change | Month on Month
notion image